AI baseball predictions
NPB predictions23 September 2026
On today's card are 6 games, of which 6 have the complete forecast: winner, score, extra innings and runs. Our ratings provide the figures.
6/6Finished games called right
100%Hit rate on this day
NPB · Japan
FinalFukuoka S. Hawks193–12210Seibu Lions148–1513FSH 63%37%Projected5–4CorrectExtra inn. 11%Runs 8.9FinalYakult Swallows127–1764Hanshin Tigers172–1328HT 59%41%Projected4–5CorrectExtra inn. 13%Runs 8.6FinalHiroshima Carp123–1821Yomiuri Giants154–1512YG 55%45%Projected2–3CorrectExtra inn. 16%Runs 5.7FinalChiba Lotte Marines122–1770Orix Buffaloes145–1591OB 52%48%Projected4–5CorrectExtra inn. 14%Runs 8.2FinalNippon Ham Fighters178–1343Rakuten Gold. Eagles127–1755RGE 52%48%Projected4–5CorrectExtra inn. 14%Runs 8.7FinalYokohama BayStars154–1584Chunichi Dragons133–1773YB 57%43%Projected5–4CorrectExtra inn. 13%Runs 8.0
How the predictions work
SluggerIQ begins with a strength mark for every club, revising it after each contest according to the result's surprise and the difference in runs. A separate scoring model weighs runs made and surrendered against the league norm. Each league receives its own home-field adjustment. Poisson estimates then describe the likelihood of extra innings, a victory by at least two runs and a total above the league line. Baseball's results wander more than those of the other major sports, and even the best clubs rarely reach 60%. When the record is brief, the figures are drawn back toward average, as they should be early in a season.
SluggerIQ begins with a strength mark for every club, revising it after each contest according to the result's surprise and the difference in runs. A separate scoring model weighs runs made and surrendered against the league norm. Each league receives its own home-field adjustment. Poisson estimates then describe the likelihood of extra innings, a victory by at least two runs and a total above the league line. Baseball's results wander more than those of the other major sports, and even the best clubs rarely reach 60%. When the record is brief, the figures are drawn back toward average, as they should be early in a season.