AI baseball predictions
NPB predictions25 September 2026
On today's card are 5 games, of which 5 have the complete forecast: winner, score, extra innings and runs. Our ratings provide the figures.
NPB · Japan
09:00Yokohama BayStars154–158Hanshin Tigers172–132YB 52%48%Projected5–4Extra inn. 15%Runs 7.709:00Hiroshima Carp123–182Yomiuri Giants154–151YG 55%45%Projected2–3Extra inn. 16%Runs 5.709:00Yakult Swallows127–176Chunichi Dragons133–177CD 54%46%Projected4–5Extra inn. 13%Runs 9.009:00Orix Buffaloes145–159Fukuoka S. Hawks193–122FSH 59%41%Projected4–5Extra inn. 12%Runs 9.309:00Seibu Lions148–151Chiba Lotte Marines122–177SL 56%44%Projected4–3Extra inn. 14%Runs 7.8
How the predictions work
SluggerIQ begins with a strength mark for every club, revising it after each contest according to the result's surprise and the difference in runs. A separate scoring model weighs runs made and surrendered against the league norm. Each league receives its own home-field adjustment. Poisson estimates then describe the likelihood of extra innings, a victory by at least two runs and a total above the league line. Baseball's results wander more than those of the other major sports, and even the best clubs rarely reach 60%. When the record is brief, the figures are drawn back toward average, as they should be early in a season.
SluggerIQ begins with a strength mark for every club, revising it after each contest according to the result's surprise and the difference in runs. A separate scoring model weighs runs made and surrendered against the league norm. Each league receives its own home-field adjustment. Poisson estimates then describe the likelihood of extra innings, a victory by at least two runs and a total above the league line. Baseball's results wander more than those of the other major sports, and even the best clubs rarely reach 60%. When the record is brief, the figures are drawn back toward average, as they should be early in a season.