AI baseball predictions
NPB predictions27 September 2026
On today's card are 5 games, of which 5 have the complete forecast: winner, score, extra innings and runs. Our ratings provide the figures.
NPB · Japan
05:00Yokohama BayStars154–158Hiroshima Carp123–182YB 61%39%Projected4–3Extra inn. 13%Runs 6.805:00Fukuoka S. Hawks193–122Orix Buffaloes145–159FSH 63%37%Projected6–4Extra inn. 11%Runs 9.309:00Chiba Lotte Marines122–177Nippon Ham Fighters178–134NHF 52%48%Projected4–5Extra inn. 13%Runs 9.009:00Seibu Lions148–151Rakuten Gold. Eagles127–175RGE 52%48%Projected4–5Extra inn. 15%Runs 7.609:00Yomiuri Giants154–151Yakult Swallows127–176YG 61%39%Projected5–3Extra inn. 13%Runs 7.4
How the predictions work
SluggerIQ begins with a strength mark for every club, revising it after each contest according to the result's surprise and the difference in runs. A separate scoring model weighs runs made and surrendered against the league norm. Each league receives its own home-field adjustment. Poisson estimates then describe the likelihood of extra innings, a victory by at least two runs and a total above the league line. Baseball's results wander more than those of the other major sports, and even the best clubs rarely reach 60%. When the record is brief, the figures are drawn back toward average, as they should be early in a season.
SluggerIQ begins with a strength mark for every club, revising it after each contest according to the result's surprise and the difference in runs. A separate scoring model weighs runs made and surrendered against the league norm. Each league receives its own home-field adjustment. Poisson estimates then describe the likelihood of extra innings, a victory by at least two runs and a total above the league line. Baseball's results wander more than those of the other major sports, and even the best clubs rarely reach 60%. When the record is brief, the figures are drawn back toward average, as they should be early in a season.