AI baseball predictions
NPB predictions22 September 2026
On today's card are 6 games, of which 6 have the complete forecast: winner, score, extra innings and runs. Our ratings provide the figures.
4/6Finished games called right
67%Hit rate on this day
NPB · Japan
FinalHiroshima Carp123–1822Yomiuri Giants154–1511YG 55%45%Projected2–3MissedExtra inn. 16%Runs 5.7FinalChiba Lotte Marines122–1774Orix Buffaloes145–1596OB 52%48%Projected4–5CorrectExtra inn. 14%Runs 8.2FinalFukuoka S. Hawks193–1226Seibu Lions148–1515FSH 63%37%Projected5–4CorrectExtra inn. 11%Runs 8.9FinalNippon Ham Fighters178–1346Rakuten Gold. Eagles127–1755RGE 52%48%Projected4–5MissedExtra inn. 14%Runs 8.7FinalYakult Swallows127–1767Hanshin Tigers172–1329HT 59%41%Projected4–5CorrectExtra inn. 13%Runs 8.6FinalYokohama BayStars154–1587Chunichi Dragons133–1773YB 57%43%Projected5–4CorrectExtra inn. 13%Runs 8.0
How the predictions work
SluggerIQ begins with a strength mark for every club, revising it after each contest according to the result's surprise and the difference in runs. A separate scoring model weighs runs made and surrendered against the league norm. Each league receives its own home-field adjustment. Poisson estimates then describe the likelihood of extra innings, a victory by at least two runs and a total above the league line. Baseball's results wander more than those of the other major sports, and even the best clubs rarely reach 60%. When the record is brief, the figures are drawn back toward average, as they should be early in a season.
SluggerIQ begins with a strength mark for every club, revising it after each contest according to the result's surprise and the difference in runs. A separate scoring model weighs runs made and surrendered against the league norm. Each league receives its own home-field adjustment. Poisson estimates then describe the likelihood of extra innings, a victory by at least two runs and a total above the league line. Baseball's results wander more than those of the other major sports, and even the best clubs rarely reach 60%. When the record is brief, the figures are drawn back toward average, as they should be early in a season.