AI baseball predictions
MLB predictions22 September 2026
On today's card are 10 games, of which 10 have the complete forecast: winner, score, extra innings and runs. Our ratings provide the figures.
4/10Finished games called right
40%Hit rate on this day
MLB
FinalSan Francisco Giants146–1755Minnesota Twins145–1762MT 52%48%Projected3–4MissedExtra inn. 16%Runs 6.7FinalNew York Yankees188–1392Tampa Bay Rays173–1470NYY 51%49%Projected4–3CorrectExtra inn. 16%Runs 6.5FinalPittsburgh Pirates151–1692St.Louis Cardinals155–1650PP 53%47%Projected4–3CorrectExtra inn. 16%Runs 6.6FinalPhiladelphia Phillies184–1406Milwaukee Brewers199–1304MB 55%45%Projected3–4MissedExtra inn. 14%Runs 7.3FinalDetroit Tigers165–1641Washington Nationals141–1803DT 51%49%Projected4–3MissedExtra inn. 15%Runs 7.2FinalBoston Red Sox175–1482Cleveland Guardians171–1523CG 54%46%Projected2–3CorrectExtra inn. 19%Runs 4.6FinalNew York Yankees188–1391Tampa Bay Rays173–1476NYY 51%49%Projected4–3MissedExtra inn. 16%Runs 6.5FinalAtlanta Braves168–1510Cincinnati Reds156–1664AB 58%42%Projected4–3MissedExtra inn. 14%Runs 6.9FinalChicago Cubs183–1452Miami Marlins157–1628CC 54%46%Projected5–4MissedExtra inn. 13%Runs 9.1FinalKansas City Royals150–17011Chicago White Sox141–17914CWS 55%45%Projected5–6CorrectExtra inn. 12%Runs 10.3
How the predictions work
SluggerIQ begins with a strength mark for every club, revising it after each contest according to the result's surprise and the difference in runs. A separate scoring model weighs runs made and surrendered against the league norm. Each league receives its own home-field adjustment. Poisson estimates then describe the likelihood of extra innings, a victory by at least two runs and a total above the league line. Baseball's results wander more than those of the other major sports, and even the best clubs rarely reach 60%. When the record is brief, the figures are drawn back toward average, as they should be early in a season.
SluggerIQ begins with a strength mark for every club, revising it after each contest according to the result's surprise and the difference in runs. A separate scoring model weighs runs made and surrendered against the league norm. Each league receives its own home-field adjustment. Poisson estimates then describe the likelihood of extra innings, a victory by at least two runs and a total above the league line. Baseball's results wander more than those of the other major sports, and even the best clubs rarely reach 60%. When the record is brief, the figures are drawn back toward average, as they should be early in a season.