AI baseball predictions
MLB predictions23 September 2026
On today's card are 17 games, of which 17 have the complete forecast: winner, score, extra innings and runs. Our ratings provide the figures.
11/17Finished games called right
65%Hit rate on this day
MLB
FinalTexas Rangers159–1613New York Mets156–1646NYM 54%46%Projected4–5CorrectExtra inn. 14%Runs 8.4FinalColorado Rockies100–2202Arizona Diamondbacks164–1567AD 60%40%Projected3–5CorrectExtra inn. 12%Runs 8.4FinalAthletics139–1819Los Angeles Angels132–1887ATH 51%49%Projected5–4CorrectExtra inn. 14%Runs 8.8FinalSeattle Mariners170–1620Houston Astros165–1557SM 51%49%Projected5–4MissedExtra inn. 15%Runs 7.3FinalSan Francisco Giants146–1752Minnesota Twins145–1763MT 52%48%Projected3–4CorrectExtra inn. 16%Runs 6.7FinalLos Angeles Dodgers202–1347San Diego Padres179–1440LAD 54%46%Projected5–4CorrectExtra inn. 14%Runs 7.8FinalDetroit Tigers165–1642Washington Nationals141–1804DT 51%49%Projected4–3MissedExtra inn. 15%Runs 7.2FinalBaltimore Orioles153–1684Toronto Blue Jays181–1572BO 53%47%Projected4–3CorrectExtra inn. 17%Runs 5.6FinalSan Francisco Giants146–1752Minnesota Twins145–1764MT 52%48%Projected3–4CorrectExtra inn. 16%Runs 6.7FinalBaltimore Orioles153–1684Toronto Blue Jays181–1572BO 53%47%Projected4–3CorrectExtra inn. 17%Runs 5.6FinalPittsburgh Pirates151–1691St.Louis Cardinals155–1655PP 53%47%Projected4–3MissedExtra inn. 16%Runs 6.6FinalPhiladelphia Phillies184–1401Milwaukee Brewers199–1304MB 55%45%Projected3–4CorrectExtra inn. 14%Runs 7.3FinalNew York Yankees188–1399Tampa Bay Rays173–1472NYY 51%49%Projected4–3CorrectExtra inn. 16%Runs 6.5FinalBoston Red Sox175–1481Cleveland Guardians171–1520CG 54%46%Projected2–3MissedExtra inn. 19%Runs 4.6FinalAtlanta Braves168–1513Cincinnati Reds156–1662AB 58%42%Projected4–3CorrectExtra inn. 14%Runs 6.9FinalChicago Cubs183–1452Miami Marlins157–1623CC 54%46%Projected5–4MissedExtra inn. 13%Runs 9.1FinalKansas City Royals150–1705Chicago White Sox141–1794CWS 55%45%Projected5–6MissedExtra inn. 12%Runs 10.3
How the predictions work
SluggerIQ begins with a strength mark for every club, revising it after each contest according to the result's surprise and the difference in runs. A separate scoring model weighs runs made and surrendered against the league norm. Each league receives its own home-field adjustment. Poisson estimates then describe the likelihood of extra innings, a victory by at least two runs and a total above the league line. Baseball's results wander more than those of the other major sports, and even the best clubs rarely reach 60%. When the record is brief, the figures are drawn back toward average, as they should be early in a season.
SluggerIQ begins with a strength mark for every club, revising it after each contest according to the result's surprise and the difference in runs. A separate scoring model weighs runs made and surrendered against the league norm. Each league receives its own home-field adjustment. Poisson estimates then describe the likelihood of extra innings, a victory by at least two runs and a total above the league line. Baseball's results wander more than those of the other major sports, and even the best clubs rarely reach 60%. When the record is brief, the figures are drawn back toward average, as they should be early in a season.