AI baseball predictions
AI baseball predictions21 September 2026
On today's card are 6 games, of which 6 have the complete forecast: winner, score, extra innings and runs. Our ratings provide the figures.
5/5Finished games called right
100%Hit rate on this day
MLB
FinalBaltimore Orioles153–1684Toronto Blue Jays181–1573BO 53%47%Projected4–3CorrectExtra inn. 17%Runs 5.6FinalDetroit Tigers165–1649Washington Nationals141–1802DT 51%49%Projected4–3CorrectExtra inn. 15%Runs 7.2
NPB · Japan
FinalChunichi Dragons133–17710Hiroshima Carp123–1820CD 56%44%Projected4–3CorrectExtra inn. 14%Runs 7.3FinalHanshin Tigers172–1323Yokohama BayStars154–1582HT 52%48%Projected5–4CorrectExtra inn. 15%Runs 7.7FinalNippon Ham Fighters178–1345Orix Buffaloes145–1593NHF 52%48%Projected5–4CorrectExtra inn. 13%Runs 9.3Postp.Chiba Lotte Marines122–177Seibu Lions148–151SL 52%48%Projected4–5Extra inn. 14%Runs 7.8
How the predictions work
SluggerIQ begins with a strength mark for every club, revising it after each contest according to the result's surprise and the difference in runs. A separate scoring model weighs runs made and surrendered against the league norm. Each league receives its own home-field adjustment. Poisson estimates then describe the likelihood of extra innings, a victory by at least two runs and a total above the league line. Baseball's results wander more than those of the other major sports, and even the best clubs rarely reach 60%. When the record is brief, the figures are drawn back toward average, as they should be early in a season.
SluggerIQ begins with a strength mark for every club, revising it after each contest according to the result's surprise and the difference in runs. A separate scoring model weighs runs made and surrendered against the league norm. Each league receives its own home-field adjustment. Poisson estimates then describe the likelihood of extra innings, a victory by at least two runs and a total above the league line. Baseball's results wander more than those of the other major sports, and even the best clubs rarely reach 60%. When the record is brief, the figures are drawn back toward average, as they should be early in a season.